As Floyd Mayweather and Conor McGregor embark on their four-city press tour this week, covering Los Angeles, Toronto, Brooklyn and London, England, there will be many fans and media sitting there wondering if “The Notorious” has any chance Giving Mayweather his first favorable defeat.
The reality is an unequivocal “No!”
But there is a very small chance that 29-year-old left-hander Conor McGregor could achieve what would be the biggest disruption in the sport’s history, lining up there with Francis Ouimet hitting golf giants Harry Vardon and Ted Ray in 1913 US Open. The difference is that Ouimet at least played golf and was an accomplished amateur.
McGregor’s discomfort would transcend him because he never boxed, not even as an amateur. Of course, Conor McGregor is a UFC superstar and mixed martial arts enter the ring boxing with one of the best fighters of all time in boxing history will be like stepping on Mars to The Notorious.
The last time Mayweather (49-0, 26 KOs) lost was on August 2, 1996, in a 10-9 decision against Bulgarian Serafim Todorov in the semifinal featherweight round of the 1996 Atlanta Olympics. Professional, has had few eyebrow rise times, like April 20, 2002, in his first fight against Jose Luis Castillo, who imposed his superior size that forced Mayweather to yield the distance of comfort; And on May 1, 2010, against Shane Mosley, whose right hand straight with 2:06 left of the second round is probably the hardest hit ever landed against “money.” Another right from Mosley with 1:15 left in the round bent Mayweather’s knees. Then Mayweather proceeded to dominate every second of every round after that.
There are some things that have to be factored into McGregor’s opportunities: One, Mayweather turned 40 on February 24; And two, when Mayweather enters the ring against Conor McGregor, it will be almost two years since his last fight. McGregor, even though it was an MMA fight, stopped Philly fighter Eddie Alvarez in November of 2016.
The best chance of McGregor against Mayweather is to skip it early. He will have to land a large left and do it within the first three rounds, because after that, McGregor will have little left. Boxing is like ballroom dancing marathon. Although Mayweather has not danced in a boxing ring in 23 months, he possesses muscle memory dating back to when he was four years old. McGregor’s legs will not be able to withstand the athletically superior Mayweather for 12 rounds or even six rounds.
Conor McGregor, like Manny Pacquiao, is left-handed. But unlike Pacquiao, when he met with the money on May 2, 2015, McGregor is 29 and not exhausted. “Pac-Man” was 36 when he met Mayweather and shook off some of his aggressive fighting style.
Will Saturday Aug. 26 be the night that Mayweather looks like a 40-year-old fighter? Will you show in your reaction time to McGregor’s attacks?
The money has not stopped anyone since being defeated by Victor Ortiz (KO 4) on September 17, 2011, which will be almost six years when he steps up against McGregor. Even Ortiz’s suspension was dubious, considering that Ortiz had bumped Mayweather and after being warned by referee Joe Cortez, he approached Money with his hands trying to apologize when the money legally hit him.
Conor McGregor has a two-inch range advantage (74 “to 72”) and is larger than Mayweather. In December of 2015, McGregor nailed the featherweight of UFC (who is 145 pounds) champion Jose Aldo with a short and precise left.
Could an invisible McGregor have left the rock on Saturday, August 26?
It’s possible. But very unlikely.